Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000644 0.000739 0.000839 0.000954 0.001081 0.001216 0.001370
2025-04-27 0.000500 0.000632 0.000782 0.000964 0.001177 0.001419 0.001710
2025-05-04 0.000414 0.000559 0.000733 0.000954 0.001223 0.001538 0.001931
2025-05-11 0.000345 0.000496 0.000685 0.000935 0.001250 0.001630 0.002118
2025-05-18 0.000304 0.000462 0.000668 0.000947 0.001311 0.001761 0.002350
2025-05-25 0.000268 0.000429 0.000646 0.000950 0.001357 0.001870 0.002556
2025-06-01 0.000226 0.000383 0.000603 0.000920 0.001356 0.001918 0.002683
2025-06-08 0.000193 0.000344 0.000564 0.000892 0.001353 0.001961 0.002803
2025-06-15 0.000171 0.000321 0.000546 0.000890 0.001384 0.002046 0.002979
2025-06-22 0.000152 0.000300 0.000529 0.000888 0.001414 0.002131 0.003154
2025-06-29 0.000134 0.000278 0.000507 0.000877 0.001429 0.002194 0.003301
2025-07-06 0.000117 0.000255 0.000483 0.000860 0.001435 0.002244 0.003428
2025-07-13 0.000109 0.000248 0.000484 0.000881 0.001497 0.002374 0.003673
2025-07-20 0.000100 0.000238 0.000479 0.000894 0.001547 0.002490 0.003900
2025-07-27 0.000088 0.000221 0.000461 0.000883 0.001561 0.002553 0.004053
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000203 0.000439 0.000866 0.001562 0.002597 0.004179
2025-08-10 0.000070 0.000196 0.000436 0.000878 0.001610 0.002709 0.004405
2025-08-17 0.000064 0.000186 0.000427 0.000880 0.001642 0.002799 0.004600
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000168 0.000402 0.000852 0.001624 0.002811 0.004681
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000152 0.000379 0.000826 0.001606 0.002824 0.004762
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000144 0.000369 0.000823 0.001628 0.002897 0.004934
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000136 0.000361 0.000822 0.001650 0.002971 0.005109
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000127 0.000348 0.000811 0.001657 0.003021 0.005246